DEMO · Harbor Pines USD is a fictional district. All figures are synthetic and generated from the persona specifications.
LOADING…
“Which drivers move which metrics?”
| Driver / Entity | Type | Influences KPI / Outcome | Strength | Conf | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Total enrollment | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Capacity utilization | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Enrollment forecast variance | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Student mobility rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Achievement gap | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Proficiency rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Department Head | PERSONA | Advanced access equity index | 1.00 | 95% | Department Head Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Advanced coursework access | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Teacher | PERSONA | Assignment completion rate | 1.00 | 95% | Teacher Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Course pass rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Department Head | PERSONA | ELA proficiency rate | 1.00 | 95% | Department Head Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Growth measure | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Department Head | PERSONA | Math proficiency rate | 1.00 | 95% | Department Head Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | School performance spread | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Department Head | PERSONA | Standards mastery rate | 1.00 | 95% | Department Head Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Chronic absenteeism rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Service delivery rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Average daily attendance | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Climate survey results | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Intervention effectiveness | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Intervention fidelity | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Suspension rate and disproportionality | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Graduation rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | CTE credential attainment | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | College enrollment and persistence | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Dropout rate | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Coach | PERSONA | Activity participation and equity | 1.00 | 95% | Coach Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Coach | PERSONA | Clearance completion rate | 1.00 | 95% | Coach Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Substitute fill rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Teacher retention rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Vacancy rate and days open | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Attrition by school and role | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Employee satisfaction | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | In-field assignment rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Leadership stability | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Staff attendance rate | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Staff vacancy count and days open | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Time to fill | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Uncovered classroom events | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Budget variance | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Fund balance ratio | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Grant utilization | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Out-year projection | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Cost per outcome | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Debt service ratio | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Per-student expenditure | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Personnel cost share | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Revenue composition | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Capital plan funding coverage | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Deferred maintenance backlog | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Facility condition index | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Technology refresh compliance | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Bus Garage Manager | PERSONA | Fleet availability rate | 1.00 | 95% | Bus Garage Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Bus Garage Manager | PERSONA | Cost per mile | 1.00 | 95% | Bus Garage Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Bus Garage Manager | PERSONA | PM compliance rate | 1.00 | 95% | Bus Garage Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Bus Garage Manager | PERSONA | Route coverage margin | 1.00 | 95% | Bus Garage Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Transportation cost per rider | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Transportation on-time rate | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Bus Garage Manager | PERSONA | Vehicles beyond replacement age | 1.00 | 95% | Bus Garage Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Cafeteria Manager | PERSONA | Nutrition fund balance | 1.00 | 95% | Cafeteria Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Cafeteria Manager | PERSONA | Claim error rate | 1.00 | 95% | Cafeteria Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Cafeteria Manager | PERSONA | Cost per meal | 1.00 | 95% | Cafeteria Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Cafeteria Manager | PERSONA | Food waste rate | 1.00 | 95% | Cafeteria Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Cafeteria Manager | PERSONA | Meal participation rate | 1.00 | 95% | Cafeteria Manager Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Purchasing efficiency | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Open compliance findings | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Cybersecurity posture | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Emergency readiness | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Reporting timeliness | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Safety incident rate | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Strategic goal progress | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Board action completion | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Initiative execution rate | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Schools needing support | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Principal | PERSONA | Family satisfaction | 1.00 | 95% | Principal Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Parent / Guardian | PERSONA | Communication responsiveness | 1.00 | 95% | Parent / Guardian Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Community engagement | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Peer district comparison | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Public sentiment | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Staff satisfaction | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | State comparison | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Superintendent | PERSONA | Tax base and economic context | 1.00 | 95% | Superintendent Report Card is the source of this rollup. |
| Horizon Alternative Program | SCHOOL | Chronic absenteeism rate | 1.00 | 85% | Horizon Alternative Program chronic absence is 58.0% against the district's 19.8%. |
| Out-year projection | KPI | Structural deficit projected for FY2028 | 1.00 | 95% | CRITICAL alert, due 2026-10-20. |
| Chronic absenteeism rate | KPI | Chronic absenteeism rising | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-10-27. |
| Achievement gap | KPI | Equity gap widening in math | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-11-03. |
| Service delivery rate | KPI | Compliance failure: special education service delivery below 95% | 1.00 | 95% | CRITICAL alert, due 2026-10-16. |
| Substitute fill rate | KPI | Staffing crisis: substitute fill at 78% | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-10-24. |
| Fleet availability rate | KPI | Fleet or route coverage risk | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-10-21. |
| Grant utilization | KPI | Grant expiring unspent: Title I carryover | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-10-30. |
| Nutrition fund balance | KPI | Nutrition fund risk | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-11-06. |
| Board action completion | KPI | Board directive overdue | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-10-20. |
| Intervention effectiveness | KPI | Initiative not working: Tier 2 reading | 1.00 | 95% | HIGH alert, due 2026-11-10. |
| Reporting timeliness | KPI | Audit or review approaching: state accountability file | 1.00 | 95% | MEDIUM alert, due 2026-10-28. |
| Fund balance ratio | KPI | Fund balance trending toward the policy floor | 1.00 | 95% | MEDIUM alert, due 2026-10-31. |
| Strategic goal progress | KPI | Strategic goal off track | 1.00 | 95% | MEDIUM alert, due 2026-11-17. |
| Every third grader reads on grade level | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | K-3 structured literacy adoption and coaching | 1.00 | 100% | 92% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Every third grader reads on grade level | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Tier 2 reading small-group expansion | 1.00 | 100% | 78% complete (WATCH). |
| Grade 3 reading proficiency | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | ELA proficiency rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Accelerate middle school math | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Math acceleration blocks (grades 6-8) | 1.00 | 100% | 70% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Grade 8 math proficiency | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Math proficiency rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Math gap, economically disadvantaged vs. not | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Achievement gap | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Cut chronic absenteeism to 12% by 2030 | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Attendance re-engagement teams (scale from pilot) | 1.00 | 100% | 46% complete (WATCH). |
| Cut chronic absenteeism to 12% by 2030 | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Family attendance nudges (text and mail) | 1.00 | 100% | 100% complete (COMPLETED). |
| Chronic absenteeism rate | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Chronic absenteeism rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Increase student sense of belonging | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Restorative practices in middle schools | 1.00 | 100% | 55% complete (WATCH). |
| Climate survey belonging index | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Climate survey results | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Fill special education roles | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Grow-your-own special education teacher residency | 1.00 | 100% | 60% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Fill special education roles | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Substitute pay and pool redesign | 1.00 | 100% | 35% complete (OFF_TRACK). |
| Special education teacher vacancies | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Vacancy rate and days open | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Substitute fill rate | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Substitute fill rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Retain early-career teachers | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | New teacher mentoring program | 1.00 | 100% | 80% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Teacher retention rate | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Teacher retention rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Reliable student transportation | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Three-year bus replacement plan | 1.00 | 100% | 33% complete (OFF_TRACK). |
| Fleet availability rate | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Fleet availability rate | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Modernize learning environments and systems | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Ten-year facilities master plan and bond readiness | 1.00 | 100% | 72% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Modernize learning environments and systems | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Cybersecurity hardening (MFA, immutable backups) | 1.00 | 100% | 85% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Cybersecurity posture index | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Cybersecurity posture | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Facility condition index | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Facility condition index | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Close the structural gap before FY2028 | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Program review and budget realignment | 1.00 | 100% | 40% complete (WATCH). |
| Close the structural gap before FY2028 | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Operating levy renewal readiness (February 2027) | 1.00 | 100% | 65% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| FY2028 projected general fund result | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Out-year projection | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Increase family and community trust | STRATEGIC_OBJECTIVE | Community engagement and two-way communication plan | 1.00 | 100% | 75% complete (ON_TRACK). |
| Family satisfaction | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Family satisfaction | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Community engagement participants | STRATEGIC_MEASURE | Community engagement | 1.00 | 100% | Primary KPI for the measure. |
| Economically disadvantaged | STUDENT_GROUP | Achievement gap | 0.95 | 80% | Math gap widened from 23.3 to 27.5 points. |
| Fleet availability rate | KPI | Route coverage margin | 0.95 | 75% | Available buses minus routes is the spare margin. |
| Out-year projection | KPI | Fund balance ratio | 0.95 | 75% | Deficits draw down the fund balance. |
| Students with disabilities | STUDENT_GROUP | Service delivery rate | 0.90 | 80% | IEP service minutes below the compliance floor. |
| Substitute fill rate | KPI | Uncovered classroom events | 0.90 | 75% | Unfilled absences become uncovered classrooms. |
| Chronic absenteeism rate | KPI | Average daily attendance | 0.90 | 75% | Chronic absence lowers average daily attendance. |
| Revenue composition | KPI | Out-year projection | 0.90 | 75% | One-time revenue ends in June 2027. |
| Out-year projection | KPI | Structural budget deficit (FY2028+) | 0.86 | 80% | Risk score 86 (CRITICAL). |
| Fund balance ratio | KPI | Structural budget deficit (FY2028+) | 0.86 | 80% | Risk score 86 (CRITICAL). |
| Students experiencing homelessness | STUDENT_GROUP | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.85 | 80% | Chronic absence more than double the district rate. |
| Vacancy rate and days open | KPI | Service delivery rate | 0.85 | 75% | Special education vacancies drive missed service minutes. |
| Vehicles beyond replacement age | KPI | Fleet availability rate | 0.85 | 75% | Older buses fail more often. |
| Students with disabilities | STUDENT_GROUP | Suspension rate and disproportionality | 0.80 | 80% | Suspended at 2.6 times the district rate. |
| Uncovered classroom events | KPI | Intervention fidelity | 0.80 | 75% | Interventionists are pulled to cover classes. |
| PM compliance rate | KPI | Fleet availability rate | 0.80 | 75% | Missed preventive maintenance increases breakdowns. |
| Enrollment declines 4% over three years | SCENARIO | Total enrollment | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Consolidate Marsh Creek and Seabrook elementaries | SCENARIO | Capacity utilization | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Consolidate Marsh Creek and Seabrook elementaries | SCENARIO | Deferred maintenance backlog | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Operating levy renewal fails (February 2027) | SCENARIO | Out-year projection | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Operating levy renewal passes at the current rate | SCENARIO | Out-year projection | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Labor settlement at 3% (FY2028) | SCENARIO | Personnel cost share | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Labor settlement at 5% (FY2028) | SCENARIO | Out-year projection | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Grant cliff: eliminate the 38 grant-funded positions | SCENARIO | Out-year projection | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Grant cliff: eliminate the 38 grant-funded positions | SCENARIO | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.80 | 70% | Scenario result row. |
| Fund 1:1 devices and 38 learning-recovery positions with one-time relief funds | DECISION | Out-year projection | 0.80 | 80% | $4.1M of recurring cost lands on the general fund in FY2028. |
| Raise the substitute daily rate 10% | DECISION | Substitute fill rate | 0.80 | 80% | Pay alone did not hold the gain. |
| Adopt the K-3 structured literacy curriculum and coaching model | DECISION | ELA proficiency rate | 0.80 | 80% | Activity complete; outcome flat. |
| Pilot attendance re-engagement teams at Tidewater and Pinecrest middle schools | DECISION | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.80 | 80% | Exceeded the target effect. |
| Defer the FY2026 bus replacement tranche (12 buses) to FY2027 | DECISION | Fleet availability rate | 0.80 | 80% | Service impact arrived within the year. |
| Marsh Creek Elementary | SCHOOL | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.78 | 85% | Marsh Creek Elementary chronic absence is 31.0% against the district's 19.8%. |
| Route coverage margin | KPI | Transportation on-time rate | 0.75 | 75% | Double-back routes run late. |
| Cost per meal | KPI | Nutrition fund balance | 0.75 | 75% | Cost above reimbursement drains the fund. |
| Chronic absenteeism rate | KPI | Chronic absenteeism | 0.74 | 80% | Risk score 74 (HIGH). |
| Vacancy rate and days open | KPI | Special education staffing and service delivery | 0.72 | 80% | Risk score 72 (HIGH). |
| Service delivery rate | KPI | Special education staffing and service delivery | 0.72 | 80% | Risk score 72 (HIGH). |
| Credit recovery (grades 9-12) | INTERVENTION | Graduation rate | 0.72 | 75% | Best observed success rate 72%. |
| Harborview Elementary | SCHOOL | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.71 | 85% | Harborview Elementary chronic absence is 28.3% against the district's 19.8%. |
| Harborview Elementary | SCHOOL | School performance spread | 0.70 | 85% | Harborview Elementary combined proficiency is 33.0% against the district's 45.5%. |
| Marsh Creek Elementary | SCHOOL | School performance spread | 0.70 | 85% | Marsh Creek Elementary combined proficiency is 30.0% against the district's 45.5%. |
| Horizon Alternative Program | SCHOOL | School performance spread | 0.70 | 85% | Horizon Alternative Program combined proficiency is 15.5% against the district's 45.5%. |
| Black or African American | STUDENT_GROUP | Suspension rate and disproportionality | 0.70 | 80% | Suspended at 2.1 times the district rate. |
| Intervention fidelity | KPI | Intervention effectiveness | 0.70 | 75% | Cancelled Tier 2 sessions reduce effect. |
| Claim error rate | KPI | Nutrition fund balance | 0.70 | 75% | Claim errors reduce federal reimbursement. |
| Achievement gap | KPI | School performance spread | 0.70 | 75% | Gaps concentrate in high-poverty schools. |
| Achievement gap | KPI | Achievement gap (economically disadvantaged) | 0.70 | 80% | Risk score 70 (HIGH). |
| Chronic absenteeism | RISK | Scale attendance teams to two elementaries | 0.70 | 70% | Pilot evidence (LL-005) supports scaling relational outreach where absence is concentrated. |
| Scale attendance teams to two elementaries | AI_RECOMMENDATION | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.70 | 70% | Pilot evidence (LL-005) supports scaling relational outreach where absence is concentrated. |
| Structural budget deficit (FY2028+) | RISK | Present structural options with downside ranges | 0.70 | 70% | Compare consolidation, partial grant-cliff, and settlement scenarios; the board decides. |
| Present structural options with downside ranges | AI_RECOMMENDATION | Out-year projection | 0.70 | 70% | Compare consolidation, partial grant-cliff, and settlement scenarios; the board decides. |
| Special education staffing and service delivery | RISK | Grow the substitute pool, not just the rate | 0.70 | 70% | Lesson LL-003: pool size and onboarding speed are the binding constraints. |
| Grow the substitute pool, not just the rate | AI_RECOMMENDATION | Substitute fill rate | 0.70 | 70% | Lesson LL-003: pool size and onboarding speed are the binding constraints. |
| Fleet availability rate | KPI | Transportation capacity | 0.66 | 80% | Risk score 66 (HIGH). |
| Route coverage margin | KPI | Transportation capacity | 0.66 | 80% | Risk score 66 (HIGH). |
| Check & Connect mentoring | INTERVENTION | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.61 | 75% | Best observed success rate 61%. |
| English learners | STUDENT_GROUP | Intervention effectiveness | 0.60 | 80% | Tier 2 reading success is 29% for English learners. |
| Chronic absenteeism rate | KPI | Proficiency rate | 0.60 | 75% | Chronically absent students are about half as likely to be proficient. |
| Meal participation rate | KPI | Nutrition fund balance | 0.60 | 75% | Lower participation spreads fixed cost over fewer meals. |
| Grant utilization | KPI | Grant lapse and federal compliance | 0.58 | 80% | Risk score 58 (MODERATE). |
| Open compliance findings | KPI | Grant lapse and federal compliance | 0.58 | 80% | Risk score 58 (MODERATE). |
| Attendance re-engagement home visits | INTERVENTION | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.58 | 75% | Best observed success rate 58%. |
| Nutrition fund balance | KPI | Nutrition fund solvency | 0.55 | 80% | Risk score 55 (MODERATE). |
| Restorative conferencing in lieu of suspension | INTERVENTION | Suspension rate and disproportionality | 0.55 | 75% | Best observed success rate 55%. |
| Deferred maintenance backlog | KPI | Facilities deferred maintenance | 0.52 | 80% | Risk score 52 (MODERATE). |
| Tier 2 math intervention (grades 6-8) | INTERVENTION | Math proficiency rate | 0.52 | 75% | Best observed success rate 52%. |
| Average daily attendance | KPI | Out-year projection | 0.50 | 75% | Each ADA point is worth about $0.9M in state funding. |
| Total enrollment | KPI | Enrollment decline | 0.50 | 80% | Risk score 50 (MODERATE). |
| Cybersecurity posture | KPI | Cybersecurity | 0.46 | 80% | Risk score 46 (MODERATE). |
| Summer bridge (rising 6th and 9th graders) | INTERVENTION | Course pass rate | 0.44 | 75% | Best observed success rate 44%. |
| Tier 2 small-group reading (K-3) | INTERVENTION | ELA proficiency rate | 0.41 | 75% | Best observed success rate 41%. |
| Grant utilization | KPI | Budget variance | 0.40 | 75% | Lapsed grant funds cannot offset general fund costs. |
| Family attendance nudges (text and mail) | INTERVENTION | Chronic absenteeism rate | 0.22 | 75% | Best observed success rate 22%. |